{"id":15122,"date":"2026-04-23T10:37:01","date_gmt":"2026-04-23T02:37:01","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.novel086.top\/index.php\/2026\/04\/23\/ribenduidezhenyixiyiweichangdanruguotedadezhenfashengne\/"},"modified":"2026-04-23T10:37:01","modified_gmt":"2026-04-23T02:37:01","slug":"ribenduidezhenyixiyiweichangdanruguotedadezhenfashengne","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.novel086.top\/index.php\/2026\/04\/23\/ribenduidezhenyixiyiweichangdanruguotedadezhenfashengne\/","title":{"rendered":"\u65e5\u672c\u5bf9\u5730\u9707\u5df2\u201c\u4e60\u4ee5\u4e3a\u5e38\u201d\uff0c\u4f46\u5982\u679c\u7279\u5927\u5730\u9707\u53d1\u751f\u5462\uff1f\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<address>JOHN YOON, HISAKO UENO<\/address>\n<p><time datetime=\"2026-04-23 10:23:12\">2026\u5e744\u670823\u65e5<\/time><\/p>\n<figure><img data-opt-id=912427215  fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.weserv.nl\/?url=static01.nyt.com\/images\/2026\/04\/21\/multimedia\/21xp-quake-kzct\/21xp-quake-kzct-master1050.jpg\" width=\"1050\" height=\"700\" \/><figcaption>\u5468\u4e00\u5730\u9707\u540e\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u7535\u89c6\u4e0a\u64ad\u51fa\u7684\u6d77\u5578\u9884\u8b66\u753b\u9762\u3002 <cite>Philip Fong\/Agence France-Presse \u2014 Getty Images<\/cite><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<section>\n<p>\u672c\u5468\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u53d1\u751f<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2026\/04\/20\/world\/asia\/quake-tracker-japan-north-pacific-ocean.html\" title=\"Link: https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/interactive\/2026\/04\/20\/world\/asia\/quake-tracker-japan-north-pacific-ocean.html\">7.4\u7ea7\u5f3a\u9707<\/a>\u5e76\u5f15\u53d1\u6d77\u5578\u9884\u8b66\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u4e00\u5bb6\u8d85\u5e02\u91cc\uff0c\u987e\u5ba2\u53ea\u662f\u6276\u7a33\u8d2d\u7269\u8f66\uff0c\u5728\u623f\u5b50\u6643\u52a8\u65f6\u7ee7\u7eed\u6311\u9009\u5546\u54c1\u3002\u51e0\u5c0f\u65f6\u5185\uff0c\u4e1c\u4eac\u7684\u5730\u94c1\u518d\u6b21\u6324\u6ee1\u4e86\u4eba\uff0c\u9707\u4e2d\u9644\u8fd1\u7684\u65b0\u5e72\u7ebf\u5217\u8f66\u4e5f\u6062\u590d\u4e86\u8fd0\u884c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u8fd9\u79cd\u4e8b\u53d1\u751f\u592a\u591a\u6b21\u4e86\uff0c\u6211\u89c9\u5f97\u6ca1\u4ec0\u4e48\u5927\u4e0d\u4e86\u7684\uff0c\u201d77\u5c81\u7684\u5b87\u90fd\u5bab\u5b8f\u4e4b\uff08\u97f3\uff09\u8bf4\uff0c\u4ed6\u5728\u4e1c\u5317\u57ce\u5e02\u77f3\u5377\u7ecf\u8425\u4e00\u5bb6\u8d27\u8fd0\u516c\u53f8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65e5\u672c\u662f\u5168\u7403\u5730\u9707\u6700\u6d3b\u8dc3\u7684\u5730\u533a\u4e4b\u4e00\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u6bcf\u5929\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\u4e24\u5230\u4e09\u6b21\u5730\u9707\u3002\u5bf9\u8bb8\u591a\u65e5\u672c\u4eba\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u5730\u9707\u6ca1\u4ec0\u4e48\u5927\u60ca\u5c0f\u602a\u7684\uff0c\u5730\u9707\u8fc7\u540e\u751f\u6d3b\u901a\u5e38\u4f1a\u5f88\u5feb\u6062\u590d\u6b63\u5e38\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u5728\u5468\u4e00\u7684\u5730\u9707\u4e4b\u540e\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u6c14\u8c61\u5385\u6566\u4fc3\u6c11\u4f17\u4e3a\u53ef\u80fd\u53d1\u751f\u66f4\u5177\u7834\u574f\u6027\u7684\u5730\u9707\u505a\u597d\u51c6\u5907\u3002\u8be5\u673a\u6784\u8b66\u544a\u8bf4\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5468\u5185\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u4e1c\u5317\u5730\u533a\u53d1\u751f8\u7ea7\u6216\u4ee5\u4e0a\u201c\u5f3a\u70c8\u5730\u9707\u201d\u7684\u98ce\u9669\u5347\u9ad8\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6839\u636e\u7f8e\u56fd\u5730\u8d28\u8c03\u67e5\u5c40\u7684\u8bf4\u6cd5\uff0c\u5730\u9707<a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.usgs.gov\/faqs\/can-you-predict-earthquakes\">\u65e0\u6cd5\u9884\u6d4b<\/a>\uff0c<a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.usgs.gov\/faqs\/what-probability-earthquake-a-foreshock-a-larger-earthquake\">\u53ea\u80fd\u8ba1\u7b97\u53d1\u751f\u7684\u6982\u7387<\/a>\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u6c14\u8c61\u5385\u4e5f\u5766\u8a00\u5176\u9884\u8b66\u5b58\u5728\u5c40\u9650\u6027\u3002\u201c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u4fe1\u606f\u6781\u5176\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\uff0c\u201d\u8be5\u673a\u6784\u5728\u5468\u4e00\u8868\u793a\u3002\u5b83\u8fd8\u8bf4\uff0c\u5f3a\u70c8\u5730\u9707\u53ef\u80fd\u6839\u672c\u4e0d\u4f1a\u53d1\u751f\uff0c\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u5728\u8fd9\u4e00\u5468\u7684\u9884\u8b66\u671f\u7ed3\u675f\u540e\u53d1\u751f\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5b98\u5458\u4eec\u8868\u793a\uff0c<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/12\/11\/world\/asia\/japan-megaquake-warning.html\">\u5f3a\u70c8\u5730\u9707\u9884\u8b66\u7cfb\u7edf<\/a>\u662f\u57282011\u5e74\u90a3\u573a\u91cd\u521b\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u5730\u9707\u4e4b\u540e\u8bbe\u8ba1\u7684\uff0c\u76ee\u7684\u662f\u9f13\u52b1\u6c11\u4f17\u63d0\u524d\u505a\u597d\u51c6\u5907\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u9488\u5bf9\u65e5\u672c\u5357\u90e8\u5916\u6d77\u5730\u9707\u6d3b\u8dc3\u5e26\u5357\u6d77\u6d77\u6c9f\u7684\u9884\u8b66\u7cfb\u7edf\u4e8e2019\u5e74\u542f\u52a8\u30022022\u5e74\u7684\u65f6\u5019\uff0c\u9488\u5bf9\u5468\u4e00\u53d1\u751f\u5730\u9707\u7684\u65e5\u672c\u4e1c\u5317\u5916\u6d77\u533a\u57df\u521b\u5efa\u4e86\u53e6\u4e00\u4e2a\u9884\u8b66\u7cfb\u7edf\u3002\u4e0d\u8fc7\uff0c\u8fd9\u7c7b\u9884\u8b66\u975e\u5e38\u5c11\u89c1\uff0c\u4e24\u5957\u7cfb\u7edf\u52a0\u8d77\u6765\u6b64\u524d\u53ea\u53d1\u5e03\u8fc7\u4e24\u6b21\u8b66\u62a5\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u7cfb\u7edf\u90fd\u662f\u57fa\u4e8e\u5386\u53f2\u6570\u636e\u6765\u5224\u65ad\u53d1\u751f<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2025\/12\/11\/world\/asia\/japan-megaquake-warning.html\">\u5f3a\u70c8\u5730\u9707<\/a>\u7684\u6982\u7387\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u672c\u5468\u4e00\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u6c14\u8c61\u5385\u8bc4\u4f30\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u4e1c\u5317\u5730\u533a\u53d1\u751f\u6b64\u7c7b\u5730\u9707\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5df2\u4ece\u57fa\u51c6\u76840.1%\u5347\u81f31%\u2014\u2014\u589e\u52a0\u4e86\u5341\u500d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5bf9\u4e8e\u65e5\u672c\u5f53\u5c40\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u5728\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5927\u591a\u6570\u5efa\u7b51\u5728\u5efa\u9020\u65f6\u5c31\u8003\u8651\u4e86\u6297\u9707\u56e0\u7d20\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u5373\u4fbf\u707e\u96be\u53d1\u751f\u6982\u7387\u53ea\u662f\u7565\u6709\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u4e5f\u503c\u5f97\u53d1\u51fa\u9884\u8b66\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u81ea\u5468\u4e00\u53d1\u5e03\u6700\u65b0\u9884\u8b66\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u4e1c\u5317\u57ce\u5e02\u4e45\u6148\u7684\u5b98\u5458\u6bcf\u5929\u901a\u8fc7\u5e7f\u64ad\u3001\u5373\u65f6\u901a\u8baf\u5e94\u7528\u548c\u7535\u5b50\u90ae\u4ef6\u53d1\u9001\u4e09\u6b21\u63d0\u9192\uff0c\u7763\u4fc3\u5c45\u6c11\u968f\u65f6\u5907\u597d\u5e94\u6025\u5305\uff0c\u5e76\u505a\u597d\u968f\u65f6\u907f\u9669\u7684\u51c6\u5907\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u6211\u4eec\u5728\u63d0\u9ad8\u516c\u4f17\u610f\u8bc6\u3001\u4f20\u64ad\u4fe1\u606f\u7684\u540c\u65f6\uff0c\u4e5f\u5c3d\u91cf\u907f\u514d\u5f15\u53d1\u8fc7\u5ea6\u6050\u614c\uff0c\u201d\u5ca9\u624b\u53bf\u4e45\u6148\u5e02\u7684\u4e00\u540d\u5371\u673a\u7ba1\u7406\u5b98\u5458\u524d\u91ce\u8f89\u6811\uff08\u97f3\uff09\u8868\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img data-opt-id=912427215  fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.weserv.nl\/?url=static01.nyt.com\/images\/2026\/05\/21\/multimedia\/21xp-quake-pvwh\/21xp-quake-pvwh-master1050.jpg\" \/><small>\u5468\u4e00\u5730\u9707\u540e\uff0c\u65e5\u672c\u4e1c\u5317\u90e8\u4ed9\u53f0\u5e02\u663e\u793a\u65b0\u5e72\u7ebf\u505c\u8fd0\u901a\u77e5\u7684\u663e\u793a\u5c4f\u3002<\/small><\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u79cd\u201c\u4fdd\u6301\u8b66\u60d5\u4f46\u4e0d\u6050\u614c\u201d\u7684\u5e73\u8861\u662f\u65e5\u672c\u4eba\u6570\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u4ee5\u6765\u4e0e\u5730\u9707\u5171\u5b58\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u3002\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u5730\u8d28\u6761\u4ef6\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u65e0\u5904\u4e0d\u5728\uff1a\u5efa\u5728\u51cf\u9707\u6a61\u80f6\u57ab\u4e0a\u7684\u6469\u5929\u5927\u697c\uff1b\u53ef\u4ee5\u5728\u9707\u52a8\u5230\u6765\u524d\u51e0\u79d2\u8ba9\u65b0\u5e72\u7ebf\u505c\u8f66\u7684\u9884\u8b66\u7cfb\u7edf\uff1b\u4e00\u4ee3\u53c8\u4e00\u4ee3\u7684\u65e5\u672c\u4eba\u4ece\u5c0f\u5c31\u5728\u5b66\u6821\u91cc\u5b9a\u671f\u53c2\u52a0\u5730\u9707\u6f14\u4e60\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6700\u5177\u7834\u574f\u6027\u7684\u5730\u9707\u5851\u9020\u4e86\u73b0\u4ee3\u65e5\u672c\u7684\u751f\u6d3b\u3001\u57ce\u5e02\u548c\u5efa\u7b51\u53d1\u5c55\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u4e13\u5bb6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u5bf9\u9632\u8303\u7684\u91cd\u89c6\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u89e3\u91ca\uff0c\u4e3a\u4ec0\u4e48\u672c\u5468\u4e00\u7684\u5730\u9707\u867d\u7136\u5a01\u529b\u5f3a\u5927\u2014\u2014\u540c\u6837\u7684\u5730\u9707\u5982\u679c\u53d1\u751f\u5728\u5176\u4ed6\u56fd\u5bb6\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5937\u5e73\u6574\u5ea7\u57ce\u9547\u2014\u2014\u5374\u51e0\u4e4e\u6ca1\u6709\u9020\u6210\u4eba\u5458\u4f24\u4ea1\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u77f3\u5377\u7684\u5efa\u7b51\u975e\u5e38\u575a\u56fa\uff0c\u90fd\u662f\u5efa\u5728\u57fa\u5ca9\u4e4b\u4e0a\u7684\uff0c\u201d\u5b87\u90fd\u5bab\u5b8f\u4e4b\u8bf4\u3002\u4ed6\u7684\u529e\u516c\u5ba4\u66fe\u57282011\u5e74\u798f\u5c9b\u5730\u9707\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u6d77\u5578\u4e2d\u88ab\u51b2\u6bc1\u3002\u201c\u5efa\u7b51\u4e0d\u4f1a\u8f7b\u6613\u52a8\u6447\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>2011\u5e74\u90a3\u573a<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/2024\/01\/01\/world\/asia\/japan-fukushima-quake-tsunami.html\">\u5730\u9707<\/a>\u53ca\u5176\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u6d77\u5578\u9020\u6210\u8d85\u8fc71.9\u4e07\u4eba\u9047\u96be\uff0c\u5e76\u5bfc\u81f4\u4e86\u6838\u707e\u96be\u3002\u798f\u5c9b\u707e\u96be\u81f3\u4eca\u4ecd\u6df1\u6df1\u5370\u5728\u65e5\u672c\u4e1c\u5317\u5730\u533a\u6c11\u4f17\u7684\u8bb0\u5fc6\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u8fd9\u4e2a\u5730\u533a\u81ea\u53e4\u4ee5\u6765\u5c31\u4e00\u76f4\u751f\u6d3b\u5728\u6d77\u5578\u5a01\u80c1\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u201d\u4e45\u6148\u5e02\u5b98\u5458\u524d\u91ce\u8f89\u6811\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u4ece\u8fc7\u53bb\u5438\u53d6\u7684\u6559\u8bad\u662f\u4e00\u4ee3\u4ee3\u4f20\u627f\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<p>\u4f46\u8fd9\u79cd\u4ece\u5bb9\u4e5f\u5e76\u975e\u6ca1\u6709\u8fb9\u754c\u3002\u5468\u4e00\u5230\u8fbe\u5ca9\u624b\u6d77\u5cb8\u7684\u6d77\u5578\u6d6a\u9ad8\u4e0d\u8db3\u4e00\u7c73\uff0c\u5e76\u672a\u5f15\u8d77\u592a\u591a\u62c5\u5fe7\u3002\u524d\u91ce\u8f89\u6811\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5f53\u5c40\u9884\u8b66\u7684\u662f\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u6d77\u5578\uff0c\u6c11\u4f17\u7684\u53cd\u5e94\u5c31\u4f1a\u5b8c\u5168\u4e0d\u540c\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u201c\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u90fd\u4f1a\u6050\u614c\uff0c\u201d\u4ed6\u8bf4\u3002<\/p>\n<p><img data-opt-id=912427215  decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.weserv.nl\/?url=static01.nyt.com\/images\/2026\/05\/21\/multimedia\/21xp-quake-zchq\/21xp-quake-zchq-master1050.jpg\" 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