{"id":14125,"date":"2026-01-29T14:13:02","date_gmt":"2026-01-29T06:13:02","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.novel086.top\/index.php\/2026\/01\/29\/zhongguorenkoushengyulupo1xinshengshuhuidaoganlongnianjianshuipingyuceshizhunhoudeduanyashixiadie\/"},"modified":"2026-01-29T14:13:02","modified_gmt":"2026-01-29T06:13:02","slug":"zhongguorenkoushengyulupo1xinshengshuhuidaoganlongnianjianshuipingyuceshizhunhoudeduanyashixiadie","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.novel086.top\/index.php\/2026\/01\/29\/zhongguorenkoushengyulupo1xinshengshuhuidaoganlongnianjianshuipingyuceshizhunhoudeduanyashixiadie\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\uff1a\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u78341\u65b0\u751f\u6570\u56de\u5230\u4e7e\u9686\u5e74\u95f4\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u9884\u6d4b\u5931\u51c6\u540e\u7684\u65ad\u5d16\u5f0f\u4e0b\u8dcc\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><main role=\"main\"><\/main><\/p>\n<div><\/div>\n<div>\n<div><img data-opt-id=912427215  fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.weserv.nl\/?url=ichef.bbci.co.uk\/ace\/ws\/640\/cpsprodpb\/4176\/live\/6f9fcd90-f83e-11f0-a422-4ba8a094a8fa.jpg\" alt=\"\u513f\u7ae5\u5403\u7cd6\u846b\u82a6\" loading=\"eager\" width=\"900\" height=\"506\" \/>\n<p role=\"text\"><span>\u56fe\u50cf\u6765\u6e90\uff0c<\/span><span>Getty Images<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><span data-testid=\"caption-paragraph\">2025\u5e74\u4e2d\u56fd\u51fa\u751f\u4eba\u53e3\u8dcc\u7834800\u4e07\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u201c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e0b\u4e00\u4ee3\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0d\u5230\u4e0a\u4e00\u4ee3\u7684\u4e00\u534a\u201d\u3002<\/span><\/p><\/div>\n<div><time datetime=\"2026-01-26\">2026\u5e741\u670826\u65e5<\/time><\/div>\n<div>\n<p>\u6e05\u4e7e\u9686\u4e09\u5e74\uff081738\u5e74\uff09\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u65b0\u751f\u513f\u6570\u91cf\u5927\u7ea6\u5728800\u4e07\u5de6\u53f3\u3002\u90a3\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u4eba\u53e3\u6b63\u5728\u7206\u70b8\u6027\u589e\u957f\u7684\u65f6\u4ee3\u2014\u20141.5\u4ebf\u4eba\u53e3\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\uff0c\u5373\u5c06\u5728\u63a5\u4e0b\u6765\u7684\u4e00\u4e2a\u4e16\u7eaa\u91cc\u81a8\u80c0\u52304\u4ebf\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>\u6b64\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u4e00\u8def\u9ad8\u6b4c\u731b\u8fdb\uff0c1960\u5e74\u4ee3\u6bcf\u5e74\u65b0\u751f\u513f\u7ae5\u4e00\u5ea6\u63a5\u8fd13000\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u5e76\u5728283\u5e74\u540e\u76842021\u5e74\uff0c\u8fbe\u5230\u5cf0\u503c14.1\u4ebf\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>\u4eba\u53e3\u603b\u6570\u8fbe\u5230\u5cf0\u503c\u4ec5\u4ec55\u5e74\u540e\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u7edf\u8ba1\u5c401\u6708\u4e2d\u65ec\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c2025\u5e74\u5168\u5e74\u51fa\u751f\u4eba\u53e3\u4ec5\u4e3a792\u4e07\uff0c\u521b\u4e0b1949\u5e74\u4ee5\u6765\u7684\u6700\u4f4e\u7eaa\u5f55\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>\u201c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u51fa\u751f\u4eba\u53e3\u5df2\u7ecf\u8dcc\u56de\u4e7e\u9686\u4e09\u5e74\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u201d\u7f8e\u56fd\u5a01\u65af\u5eb7\u661f\u5927\u5b66\u9ea6\u8fea\u900a\u5206\u6821\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u6613\u5bcc\u8d24\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\u6fc0\u8d77\u70ed\u8bae\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u5bf9\u6bd4\u7684\u7280\u5229\u4e4b\u5904\u5728\u4e8e\u65f6\u4ee3\u7684\u4ea4\u53c9\u2014\u2014\u5f53\u5e74\u53ea\u67091.5\u4ebf\u4eba\u65f6\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0a\u5347\u671f\uff1b\u73b0\u5728\u662f14\u4ebf\u8fdb\u5165\u4e86\u4eba\u53e3\u840e\u7f29\u671f\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>\u66f4\u4ee4\u4eba\u9519\u6115\u7684\u662f\u5bf9\u6bd4\uff1a\u5341\u4f59\u5e74\u524d\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u5b98\u65b9\u9884\u6d4b\u5168\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u5c06\u57282033\u5e74\u8fbe\u523015\u4ebf\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\u3002\u5982\u4eca\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5cf0\u503c\u63d0\u524d\u4e8612\u5e74\u5230\u6765\uff0c\u800c\u4e14\u6bd4\u9884\u6d4b\u5c11\u4e86\u5c06\u8fd11\u4ebf\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<section 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data-e2e=\"recommendations-heading\" role=\"region\" aria-labelledby=\"recommendations-heading\">\n<div><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/zhongwen\/articles\/cr4kkydv75ro\/simp#end-of-recommendations\">Skip \u70ed\u8bfb and continue reading<\/a>\n<div><strong><span><span><span>\u70ed\u8bfb<\/span><\/span><\/span><\/strong><\/div>\n<ul role=\"list\">\n<li role=\"listitem\">\n<div data-e2e=\"recommendations-wrapper\">\n<div>\n<div><img data-opt-id=912427215  fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.weserv.nl\/?url=ichef.bbci.co.uk\/ace\/ws\/660\/cpsprodpb\/36c2\/live\/d0d877a0-fb78-11f0-a47f-d352a7d9988a.jpg\" alt=\"Zhang Youxia (C), newly-elected Vice Chairman of the Central Military Commission of the People's Republic of China, swears an oath with Central Military Commission members He Weidong and Li Shangfu after they were elected during the fourth plenary session of the National People's Congress (NPC) at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing on March 11, 2023.\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/zhongwen\/articles\/cp80pl999gjo\/simp\" data-static-reverb-click=\"https:\/\/a1.api.bbc.co.uk\/hit.xiti?idclient={idclient}&amp;s=598342&amp;r={screenResolutionColourDepth}&amp;re={browserViewportResolution}&amp;hl={timestamp}&amp;ts={epochTimestamp}&amp;lng={language}&amp;app_type=lite&amp;app_name=news-zhongwen&amp;language=zh-hans&amp;content_type=article&amp;events=%5B%7B%22name%22%3A%22viewability.select%22%2C%22data%22%3A%7B%22item%22%3A%7B%22name%22%3A%22midarticle-mostread%22%2C%22type%22%3A%22midarticle-mostread-promo%22%2C%22text%22%3A%22%E5%88%86%E6%9E%90%EF%BC%9A%E5%BC%A0%E5%8F%88%E4%BE%A0%E2%80%9C%E4%B8%83%E5%AE%97%E7%BD%AA%E2%80%9D%E5%92%8C%20%E2%80%9C%E7%BA%A2%E4%BA%8C%E4%BB%A3%E2%80%9D%E4%B8%96%E4%BA%A4%E7%A5%9E%E8%AF%9D%E7%9A%84%E7%A0%B4%E7%81%AD%22%2C%22position%22%3A1%2C%22link%22%3A%22{forwardingLink}%22%7D%2C%22event%22%3A%7B%22category%22%3A%22viewability%22%2C%22action%22%3A%22select%22%7D%2C%22group%22%3A%7B%22name%22%3A%22%E7%83%AD%E8%AF%BB%22%2C%22type%22%3A%22midarticle-mostread%22%2C%22item_count%22%3A4%7D%2C%22user%22%3A%7B%22id%22%3Anull%7D%2C%22app%22%3A%7B%22type%22%3A%22lite%22%2C%22name%22%3A%22news-zhongwen%22%7D%7D%7D%5D&amp;context=%5B%7B%22data%22%3A%7B%22page%22%3A%7B%22%24%22%3A%22zhongwen.articles.cr4kkydv75ro.simp.page%22%7D%2C%22site%22%3A%7B%22level2_id%22%3A%2238%22%7D%7D%7D%5D\">\u5206\u6790\uff1a\u5f20\u53c8\u4fa0\u201c\u4e03\u5b97\u7f6a\u201d\u548c 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data-static-reverb-click=\"https:\/\/a1.api.bbc.co.uk\/hit.xiti?idclient={idclient}&amp;s=598342&amp;r={screenResolutionColourDepth}&amp;re={browserViewportResolution}&amp;hl={timestamp}&amp;ts={epochTimestamp}&amp;lng={language}&amp;app_type=lite&amp;app_name=news-zhongwen&amp;language=zh-hans&amp;content_type=article&amp;events=%5B%7B%22name%22%3A%22viewability.select%22%2C%22data%22%3A%7B%22item%22%3A%7B%22name%22%3A%22midarticle-mostread%22%2C%22type%22%3A%22midarticle-mostread-promo%22%2C%22text%22%3A%22%E5%8D%B0%E5%BA%A6%E7%88%86%E5%8F%91%E5%B0%BC%E5%B8%95%E7%97%85%E6%AF%92%E7%96%AB%E6%83%85%EF%BC%8C%E4%BA%9A%E6%B4%B2%E6%9C%BA%E5%9C%BA%E5%8A%A0%E5%BC%BA%E7%AD%9B%E6%A3%80%22%2C%22position%22%3A3%2C%22link%22%3A%22{forwardingLink}%22%7D%2C%22event%22%3A%7B%22category%22%3A%22viewability%22%2C%22action%22%3A%22select%22%7D%2C%22group%22%3A%7B%22name%22%3A%22%E7%83%AD%E8%AF%BB%22%2C%22type%22%3A%22midarticle-mostread%22%2C%22item_count%22%3A4%7D%2C%22user%22%3A%7B%22id%22%3Anull%7D%2C%22app%22%3A%7B%22type%22%3A%22lite%22%2C%22name%22%3A%22news-zhongwen%22%7D%7D%7D%5D&amp;context=%5B%7B%22data%22%3A%7B%22page%22%3A%7B%22%24%22%3A%22zhongwen.articles.cr4kkydv75ro.simp.page%22%7D%2C%22site%22%3A%7B%22level2_id%22%3A%2238%22%7D%7D%7D%5D\">\u5370\u5ea6\u7206\u53d1\u5c3c\u5e15\u75c5\u6bd2\u75ab\u60c5\uff0c\u4e9a\u6d32\u673a\u573a\u52a0\u5f3a\u7b5b\u68c0<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<li role=\"listitem\">\n<div data-e2e=\"recommendations-wrapper\">\n<div>\n<div><img data-opt-id=912427215  decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.weserv.nl\/?url=ichef.bbci.co.uk\/ace\/ws\/660\/cpsprodpb\/8a78\/live\/e6b6c3b0-fb78-11f0-9fd1-99e08ea50909.jpg\" alt=\"\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d59\u6c5f\u7701\u4e49\u4e4c\u5e02\u7684\u4e49\u4e4c\u56fd\u9645\u5546\u8d38\u57ce\uff0c\u4e3a\u8fce\u63a5\u9a6c\u5e74\u7684\u519c\u5386\u65b0\u5e74\uff0c\u54ed\u6ce3\u5c0f\u9a6c\u5e03\u5076\u88ab\u9648\u5217\u5c55\u793a\" loading=\"lazy\" \/><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div><a href=\"https:\/\/www.bbc.com\/zhongwen\/articles\/c3ed2xzlz9ko\/simp\" data-static-reverb-click=\"https:\/\/a1.api.bbc.co.uk\/hit.xiti?idclient={idclient}&amp;s=598342&amp;r={screenResolutionColourDepth}&amp;re={browserViewportResolution}&amp;hl={timestamp}&amp;ts={epochTimestamp}&amp;lng={language}&amp;app_type=lite&amp;app_name=news-zhongwen&amp;language=zh-hans&amp;content_type=article&amp;events=%5B%7B%22name%22%3A%22viewability.select%22%2C%22data%22%3A%7B%22item%22%3A%7B%22name%22%3A%22midarticle-mostread%22%2C%22type%22%3A%22midarticle-mostread-promo%22%2C%22text%22%3A%22%E9%A9%AC%E5%B9%B4%E5%B0%86%E8%87%B3%EF%BC%8C%E8%BF%99%E5%8F%AA%E2%80%9C%E5%93%AD%E5%93%AD%E9%A9%AC%E2%80%9D%E7%8E%A9%E5%85%B7%E5%9C%A8%E4%B8%AD%E5%9B%BD%E6%98%A5%E8%8A%82%E5%89%8D%E6%84%8F%E5%A4%96%E8%B5%B0%E7%BA%A2%22%2C%22position%22%3A4%2C%22link%22%3A%22{forwardingLink}%22%7D%2C%22event%22%3A%7B%22category%22%3A%22viewability%22%2C%22action%22%3A%22select%22%7D%2C%22group%22%3A%7B%22name%22%3A%22%E7%83%AD%E8%AF%BB%22%2C%22type%22%3A%22midarticle-mostread%22%2C%22item_count%22%3A4%7D%2C%22user%22%3A%7B%22id%22%3Anull%7D%2C%22app%22%3A%7B%22type%22%3A%22lite%22%2C%22name%22%3A%22news-zhongwen%22%7D%7D%7D%5D&amp;context=%5B%7B%22data%22%3A%7B%22page%22%3A%7B%22%24%22%3A%22zhongwen.articles.cr4kkydv75ro.simp.page%22%7D%2C%22site%22%3A%7B%22level2_id%22%3A%2238%22%7D%7D%7D%5D\">\u9a6c\u5e74\u5c06\u81f3\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ea\u201c\u54ed\u54ed\u9a6c\u201d\u73a9\u5177\u5728\u4e2d\u56fd\u6625\u8282\u524d\u610f\u5916\u8d70\u7ea2<\/a><\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/div>\n<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>End of \u70ed\u8bfb<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<\/section>\n<div>\n<p>\u4f46\u73b0\u5b9e\u5f88\u5feb\u4e0e\u8fd9\u5957\u5224\u65ad\u62c9\u5f00\u8ddd\u79bb\u30022010\u5e74\u7b2c\u516d\u6b21\u4eba\u53e3\u666e\u67e5\u53e3\u5f84\u7684\u603b\u548c\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u4e3a1.18\uff0c\u4f46\u540e\u7eed\u7814\u7a76\u4e0e\u8ba8\u8bba\u4e2d\u8fd9\u4e00\u6570\u5b57\u88ab\u4e0a\u8c03\u52301.63\u3002\u4e3b\u8981\u662f\u56e0\u4e3a\u5f53\u65f6\u5b58\u5728\u201c\u8d85\u751f\u6f0f\u62a5\u201d\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u8981\u5c06\u6570\u636e\u4e0a\u8c03\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>\u603b\u548c\u751f\u80b2\u7387\uff08Total Fertility Rate, TFR\uff09\u6307\u5987\u5973\u4e00\u751f\u4e2d\u5e73\u5747\u751f\u80b2\u5b50\u5973\u7684\u603b\u6570\uff0c\u662f\u8861\u91cf\u4eba\u53e3\u7ed3\u6784\u7684\u5173\u952e\u6307\u6807\u3002\u56fd\u9645\u4e0a\u4ee52.1\u4f5c\u4e3a\u7ef4\u6301\u4eba\u53e3\u7a33\u5b9a\u7684\u201c\u4e16\u4ee3\u66f4\u66ff\u6c34\u5e73\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>\u6b64\u540e\u504f\u5dee\u8fd8\u5728\u663e\u73b0\u30022013\u5e7411\u6708\uff0c17\u4f4d\u9876\u5c16\u4eba\u53e3\u5b66\u5bb6\u5728\u300a\u4eba\u6c11\u65e5\u62a5\u300b\u53d1\u8868\u6587\u7ae0\u79f0\uff0c\u5982\u679c\u5b9e\u884c\u5168\u9762\u4e8c\u5b69\u653f\u7b56\uff0c\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u5c06\u8d85\u8fc74.4\u3002\u65f6\u4efb\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u5b66\u4f1a\u4f1a\u957f\u7fdf\u632f\u6b66\u66f4\u662f\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u5168\u9762\u4e8c\u5b69\u5c06\u5bfc\u81f4\u6bcf\u5e74\u51fa\u751f4995\u4e07\u4eba\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>\u57fa\u4e8e\u8fd9\u4e9b\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u57282014\u5e74\u4ec5\u5b9e\u884c\u4e86\u201c\u5355\u72ec\u4e8c\u5b69\u201d\u653f\u7b56\u2014\u2014\u53ea\u5141\u8bb8\u4e00\u65b9\u4e3a\u72ec\u751f\u5b50\u5973\u7684\u592b\u5987\u751f\u80b2\u4e8c\u5b69\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>2016\u5e74\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u7ec8\u4e8e\u5168\u9762\u653e\u5f00\u4e8c\u5b69\u3002\u5f53\u65f6\u536b\u8ba1\u59d4\u526f\u4e3b\u4efb\u738b\u57f9\u5b89\u7b4915\u4f4d\u4e13\u5bb6\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u5c06\u57282018\u5e74\u8fbe\u52302.09\u7684\u5cf0\u503c\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>\u73b0\u5b9e\u5462\uff1f\u5373\u4fbf\u6309\u7167\u300a\u536b\u751f\u5065\u5eb7\u7edf\u8ba1\u5e74\u9274\u300b\u4e2d\u7684\u6570\u636e\uff0c2018\u5e74\u51fa\u751f\u4eba\u53e3\u4e5f\u53ea\u67091362\u4e07\u2014\u2014\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u7ea61.4\uff0c\u8fdc\u4f4e\u4e8e\u9884\u6d4b\uff0c\u603b\u6570\u66f4\u4e0e\u201c4995\u4e07\u201d\u76f8\u53bb\u751a\u8fdc\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>\u800c\u521a\u521a\u516c\u5e03\u7684\u6570\u636e\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u5728\u4e09\u5b69\u653f\u7b56\u5168\u9762\u653e\u5f00\u7684\u80cc\u666f\u4e0b\uff0c2025\u5e74\u51fa\u751f\u4eba\u53e3\u8dcc\u7834800\u4e07\u3002\u6839\u636e\u6613\u5bcc\u8d24\u4f30\u7b97\uff0c2025\u5e74\u7684\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u53ea\u67090.97-0.98\u2014\u2014\u8fd9\u662f\u4e2d\u56fd\u603b\u548c\u751f\u80b2\u7387\u9996\u6b21\u8dcc\u78341.0\uff0c\u201c\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e0b\u4e00\u4ee3\u4eba\u53e3\u4e0d\u5230\u4e0a\u4e00\u4ee3\u7684\u4e00\u534a\u201d\u3002<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<p>\u5b98\u65b9\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u5927\u5e45\u5931\u51c6\u3002\u6613\u5bcc\u8d24\u5bf9BBC\u4e2d\u6587\u8bf4\uff0c\u201c\u8bf4\u660e\u73b0\u6709\u4e2d\u56fd\u4eba\u53e3\u5b66\u7684\u5b66\u672f\u8303\u5f0f\u5b58\u5728\u4e25\u91cd\u95ee\u9898\u3002\u201d<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<div>\n<div><img data-opt-id=912427215  loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.weserv.nl\/?url=ichef.bbci.co.uk\/ace\/ws\/640\/cpsprodpb\/c228\/live\/e0b2a430-f83e-11f0-b5f7-49f0357294ff.jpg\" alt=\"\u62b1\u7bee\u7403\u7684\u5c0f\u5b69\u5b50\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"900\" height=\"506\" \/>\n<p role=\"text\"><span>\u56fe\u50cf\u6765\u6e90\uff0c<\/span><span>Getty Images<\/span><\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p><span 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data-opt-id=912427215  loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/images.weserv.nl\/?url=ichef.bbci.co.uk\/ace\/ws\/640\/cpsprodpb\/5e7e\/live\/0e27e8d0-f83f-11f0-b5f7-49f0357294ff.jpg\" alt=\"\u65b0\u751f\u513f\u8bfe\u5802\" loading=\"lazy\" width=\"900\" height=\"506\" \/>\n<p role=\"text\"><span>\u56fe\u50cf\u6765\u6e90\uff0c<\/span><span>Getty 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