{"id":12960,"date":"2025-10-29T10:07:05","date_gmt":"2025-10-29T02:07:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.chinesenews.site\/index.php\/2025\/10\/29\/congxijinpingdaotelangpuqiangrentongzhirangshijiegengjiaweixian\/"},"modified":"2025-10-29T10:07:05","modified_gmt":"2025-10-29T02:07:05","slug":"congxijinpingdaotelangpuqiangrentongzhirangshijiegengjiaweixian","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.novel086.top\/index.php\/2025\/10\/29\/congxijinpingdaotelangpuqiangrentongzhirangshijiegengjiaweixian\/","title":{"rendered":"\u4ece\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5230\u7279\u6717\u666e\uff0c\u5f3a\u4eba\u7edf\u6cbb\u8ba9\u4e16\u754c\u66f4\u52a0\u5371\u9669\u00a0"},"content":{"rendered":"<address>ERICA FRANTZ, ANDREA KENDALL-TAYLOR, JOSEPH WRIGHT<\/address>\n<p>2025\u5e7410\u670829\u65e5<\/p>\n<section>\n<p>\u5f53\u7279\u6717\u666e\u603b\u7edf\u548c\u4e2d\u56fd\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u5e2d\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u672c\u5468\u4f1a\u9762\u65f6\uff0c\u5168\u4e16\u754c\u90fd\u4f1a\u5173\u6ce8\u4ed6\u4eec\u662f\u5426\u80fd\u591f\u8fbe\u6210\u4e00\u4e2a\u6846\u67b6\u6027\u7684<a href=\"https:\/\/www.nytimes.com\/live\/2025\/10\/26\/us\/trump-news#china-us-trade\">\u8d38\u6613\u534f\u8bae<\/a>\uff0c\u5e76\u6700\u7ec8\u4e3a\u4e16\u754c\u4e0a\u6700\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u53cc\u8fb9\u5173\u7cfb\u6062\u590d\u6301\u4e45\u7684\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\u548c\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4e0d\u8981\u5bf9\u6b64\u62b1\u592a\u5927\u671f\u671b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u65e0\u8bba\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u97e9\u56fd\u7684\u533a\u57df\u5cf0\u4f1a\u4e0a\u8ba1\u5212\u597d\u7684\u4f1a\u6664\u4e2d\u53d1\u8868\u4ec0\u4e48\u8a00\u8f9e\u3001\u8fbe\u6210\u4ec0\u4e48\u534f\u8bae\uff0c\u90fd\u4e0d\u8fc7\u610f\u5473\u7740\u4e24\u4f4d\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u4e4b\u95f4\u77ed\u6682\u7684\u4f11\u6218\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u4e0d\u53d7\u56fd\u5185\u6216\u5236\u5ea6\u7ea6\u675f\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u968f\u5fc3\u6240\u6b32\u5730\u6539\u53d8\u7acb\u573a\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u6b22\u8fce\u6765\u5230\u65b0\u7684\u5f3a\u4eba\u65f6\u4ee3\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5982\u679c\u5f53\u4eca\u4e16\u754c\u770b\u8d77\u6765\u7d27\u5f20\u4e0d\u5b89\uff0c\u8054\u76df\u6b63\u5728\u7834\u88c2\uff0c\u66b4\u529b\u51b2\u7a81\u4e0d\u65ad\u51fa\u73b0\uff0c\u52a8\u8361\u4e60\u4ee5\u4e3a\u5e38\uff0c\u90a3\u662f\u6709\u539f\u56e0\u7684\u3002\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u7531\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u51ed\u4e2a\u4eba\u610f\u5fd7\u800c\u975e\u89c4\u5219\u548c\u5171\u8bc6\u7edf\u6cbb\u7684\u4e16\u754c\u6240\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u65e9\u671f\u9707\u8361\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u50cf\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba<a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2021\/03\/09\/all-politics-is-personalized\/\" title=\"Link: https:\/\/foreignpolicy.com\/2021\/03\/09\/all-politics-is-personalized\/\">\u5728\u5168\u7403\u5404\u5730<\/a>\u4e0d\u65ad\u6d8c\u73b0\u2014\u2014\u8428\u5c14\u74e6\u591a\u7684\u7eb3\u4f0a\u5e03\u00b7\u5e03\u514b\u5c14\u3001\u7a81\u5c3c\u65af\u7684\u51ef\u65af\u00b7\u8d5b\u4e49\u5fb7\u3001\u5308\u7259\u5229\u7684\u6b27\u5c14\u73ed\u00b7\u7ef4\u514b\u6258\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u90a3\u4e9b\u5df2\u7ecf\u6839\u6df1\u8482\u56fa\u7684\u5a01\u6743\u7edf\u6cbb\u8005\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u7684\u5f17\u62c9\u57fa\u7c73\u5c14\u00b7\u666e\u4eac\u548c\u671d\u9c9c\u7684\u91d1\u6b63\u6069\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u800c\u73b0\u5728\uff0c\u5728\u7f8e\u4e2d\u5173\u7cfb\u4e2d\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u7b2c\u4e00\u6b21\u7531\u4e24\u4f4d\u5177\u6709\u76f8\u4f3c\u653f\u6cbb\u98ce\u683c\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u638c\u8235\u4e24\u56fd\u3002\u5176\u540e\u679c\u2014\u2014\u81f3\u5c11\u5728\u672a\u6765\u56db\u5e74\u91cc\u2014\u2014\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u5341\u5206\u6df1\u8fdc\uff1a\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u5192\u9669\u884c\u4e3a\u3001\u66f4\u5927\u7684\u4e0d\u7a33\u5b9a\u6027\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u66f4\u9ad8\u7684\u8bef\u5224\u4e0e\u51b2\u7a81\u98ce\u9669\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e0e\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u4ed6\u4eec\u6240\u9886\u5bfc\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\uff0c\u5f53\u7136\u5728\u8bf8\u591a\u65b9\u9762\u5b58\u5728\u5dee\u5f02\u3002\u7136\u800c\uff0c\u4e24\u4eba\u90fd\u8bd5\u56fe\u5c06\u5404\u81ea\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u4f53\u7cfb\u6309\u81ea\u5df1\u7684\u610f\u5fd7\u91cd\u65b0\u5851\u9020\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5df2\u7ecf\u52ab\u6301\u4e86\u5171\u548c\u515a\uff0c\u5c06\u5176\u53d8\u6210\u4e86\u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u653f\u6cbb\u5de5\u5177\u3002\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u7a0b\u5ea6\u4e4b\u6df1\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u8db3\u4ee5\u8ba9\u6bdb\u6cfd\u4e1c\u611f\u5230\u7fa1\u6155\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u56fd\u5185\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5236\u8861\uff0c\u8fd9\u8ba9\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u8fbe\u6210\u534f\u8bae\u65f6\u62e5\u6709\u5f88\u5927\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u5ea6\uff0c\u4f46\u4e5f\u4f7f\u4efb\u4f55\u6f5c\u5728\u534f\u8bae\u53d8\u5f97\u8106\u5f31\uff0c\u5bb9\u6613\u53d1\u751f\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u5f3a\u4eba\u5f0f\u9886\u5bfc\u8005\u53ef\u80fd\u662f\u4e0d\u53ef\u9760\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5408\u4f5c\u4f19\u4f34\u3002\u5728\u88ab\u5fe0\u8bda\u8005\u5305\u56f4\u3001\u6743\u529b\u5236\u8861\u88ab\u524a\u5f31\u7684\u60c5\u51b5\u4e0b\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5728\u8fdd\u80cc\u627f\u8bfa\u6216\u7a81\u7136\u6539\u53d8\u8def\u7ebf\u65f6\uff0c\u51e0\u4e4e\u4e0d\u4f1a\u9762\u4e34\u56fd\u5185\u540e\u679c\u3002\u6211\u4eec\u5df2\u7ecf\u4ece\u8fd9\u4e24\u4f4d\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u8eab\u4e0a\u770b\u5230\u8fc7\u8fd9\u79cd\u60c5\u51b5\uff1a\u7279\u6717\u666e\u653f\u5e9c\u6307\u8d23\u4e2d\u56fd\u672a\u80fd\u5c65\u884c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u7b2c\u4e00\u4efb\u671f\u5185\u505a\u51fa\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u627f\u8bfa\uff0c\u800c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u672c\u4eba\u4eca\u5e74\u4e5f\u591a\u6b21\u5ba3\u5e03\u5bf9\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\u52a0\u5f81\u5173\u7a0e\uff0c\u5374\u53c8\u5f88\u5feb\u64a4\u56de\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7f3a\u4e4f\u5236\u7ea6\u4f1a\u5bf9\u5168\u7403\u5b89\u5168\u4e0d\u5229\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u5f3a\u4eba\u9886\u5bfc\u8005\u4e0d\u4f1a\u88ab\u8ffd\u8d23\uff0c\u4ed6\u4eec\u5c31\u4e0d\u5fc5\u5c65\u884c\u627f\u8bfa\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\u4ed6\u4eec\u7684\u5a01\u80c1\u7f3a\u4e4f\u53ef\u4fe1\u5ea6\u3002\u5728\u865a\u5f20\u58f0\u52bf\u4e2d\uff0c\u5404\u65b9\u5f80\u5f80\u96be\u4ee5\u5224\u65ad\u771f\u6b63\u7684\u7ea2\u7ebf\u5728\u54ea\u91cc\u2014\u2014\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u7279\u6717\u666e\u66fe\u591a\u6b21\u5411\u666e\u4eac\u53d1\u51fa\u5173\u4e8e\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u505c\u706b\u7684\u6700\u540e\u901a\u7252\uff0c\u800c\u540e\u8005\u5219\u4e00\u518d\u65e0\u89c6\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5728\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u73af\u5883\u4e0b\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u884c\u4e3a\u7684\u62a4\u680f\u9010\u6e10\u6d88\u5931\uff0c\u51b2\u7a81\u7206\u53d1\u7684\u53ef\u80fd\u6027\u968f\u4e4b\u4e0a\u5347\u3002\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u5a01\u6743\u9886\u5bfc\u4eba\u2014\u2014\u5468\u56f4\u90fd\u662f\u4e00\u5473\u8fce\u5408\u5176\u610f\u5fd7\u548c\u653f\u7b56\u4fe1\u5ff5\u7684\u5e94\u58f0\u866b\u2014\u2014\u66f4\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u5192\u9669\u3001\u53d1\u52a8\u6218\u4e89\u5e76\u5347\u7ea7\u51b2\u7a81\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u4fc4\u7f57\u65af\u5bf9\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u7684\u5165\u4fb5\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5178\u578b\u4f8b\u5b50\u3002\u5728\u4e00\u7fa4\u963f\u8c00\u5949\u627f\u8005\u7684\u62e5\u7c07\u4e4b\u4e0b\uff0c\u666e\u4eac\u5bf9\u4e4c\u514b\u5170\u4f5c\u51fa\u4e86\u4e25\u91cd\u8bef\u5224\uff0c\u53d1\u52a8\u4e86\u4e00\u573a\u9707\u52a8\u4e16\u754c\u7684\u6218\u4e89\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5728\u52a0\u52d2\u6bd4\u5730\u533a\u636e\u79f0<a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.hrw.org\/news\/2025\/09\/18\/us-maritime-strikes-amount-to-extrajudicial-killings\">\u672a\u7ecf\u53f8\u6cd5\u7a0b\u5e8f\u5c31\u5904\u51b3<\/a>\u6d89\u5acc\u6bd2\u54c1\u8d70\u79c1\u8005\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5bf9\u59d4\u5185\u745e\u62c9\u7684\u5a01\u80c1<a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.pbs.org\/newshour\/show\/trump-weighs-land-strikes-in-venezuela-following-attacks-on-suspected-drug-boats\">\u653b\u51fb<\/a>\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u884c\u4e3a\u4e0e\u524d\u8005\u5c5e\u4e8e\u540c\u4e00\u79cd\u5192\u9669\u503e\u5411\u3002\u540c\u6837\uff0c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u9886\u5bfc\u4e0b\u7684\u4e2d\u56fd\u5728\u5357\u4e2d\u56fd\u6d77\u548c\u53f0\u6e7e\u6d77\u5ce1\u6240\u91c7\u53d6\u7684\u56a3\u5f20\u519b\u4e8b\u884c\u52a8\u4e5f\u662f\u8fd9\u4e00\u903b\u8f91\u7684\u4f53\u73b0\u3002\u56fd\u5bb6\u95f4\u7684\u51b2\u7a81\u5df2\u7ecf<a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.prio.org\/news\/3616\">\u5448\u4e0a\u5347\u8d8b\u52bf<\/a>\u3002\u5728\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u8005\u638c\u6743\u4e0b\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u8d8b\u52bf\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u6301\u7eed\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f3a\u4eba\u7edf\u6cbb\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4e5f\u6e17\u900f\u5230\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ed3\u6784\u548c\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u9886\u5bfc\u8005\u66f4\u6709\u53ef\u80fd\u653b\u51fb\u4e2d\u592e\u94f6\u884c\u7b49\u56fd\u5185\u72ec\u7acb\u673a\u6784\uff0c\u6b63\u5982\u7279\u6717\u666e\u9488\u5bf9\u7f8e\u8054\u50a8\u7684\u505a\u6cd5\uff0c\u8fd9\u53ef\u80fd\u4f1a\u523a\u6fc0\u901a\u80c0\u5e76\u964d\u4f4e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u53ef\u9884\u6d4b\u6027\u3002\u5728\u4e2a\u4eba\u4e13\u5236\u4f53\u5236\u4e0b\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u548c\u793e\u4f1a\u5e73\u7b49\u5f80\u5f80<a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nber.org\/system\/files\/working_papers\/w34093\/w34093.pdf\">\u53d7\u5230\u635f<\/a><a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.nber.org\/system\/files\/working_papers\/w34093\/w34093.pdf\">\u5bb3<\/a>\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u6743\u529b\u503e\u5411\u4e8e\u96c6\u4e2d\u5728\u7cbe\u82f1\u624b\u4e2d\uff0c\u4f9d\u8d56\u7a33\u5b9a\u653f\u7b56\u7684\u79c1\u4eba\u6295\u8d44\u53d7\u5230\u6291\u5236\uff0c\u800c\u6559\u80b2\u3001\u533b\u7597\u548c\u57fa\u7840\u8bbe\u65bd\u7b49\u57fa\u672c\u516c\u5171\u670d\u52a1\u5219\u88ab\u5ffd\u89c6\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u53ca\u5176\u4ed6\u8d38\u6613\u4f19\u4f34\u53d1\u8d77\u7684\u8d38\u6613\u6218\u5df2\u7ecf\u9020\u6210\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6270\u52a8\uff0c\u5e76\u5f15\u53d1<a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2025-10-17\/imf-sees-significant-risks-to-global-growth-from-us-china-row\">\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u901f\u653e\u7f13<\/a>\u7684\u9884\u6d4b\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u5f3a\u4eba\u9886\u5bfc\u8005\u5f80\u5f80\u4f1a\u4e3a\u81ea\u5df1\u53ca\u5176\u5fe0\u8bda\u8ffd\u968f\u8005\u8c0b\u53d6\u79c1\u5229\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u901a\u8fc7\u5c06\u8d44\u4ea7\u8f6c\u79fb\u5230\u6d77\u5916\u7834\u574f\u672c\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u3002\u4f8b\u5982\uff0c\u636e\u62a5\u9053\uff0c\u4e60\u8fd1\u5e73\u7684\u5bb6\u65cf<a rel=\"noopener noreferrer\" target=\"_blank\" href=\"https:\/\/www.dni.gov\/files\/ODNI\/documents\/assessments\/ODNI-Unclassified-CDA-CCP-Leadership-202503.pdf\">\u5df2\u79ef\u7d2f<\/a>\u4e86\u8d85\u8fc710\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u8d44\u4ea7\uff0c\u4e0e\u6b64\u540c\u65f6\u4ed6\u5229\u7528\u53cd\u8150\u8fd0\u52a8\u6e05\u9664\u653f\u654c\u3002\u7279\u6717\u666e\u4e0d\u53d7\u7ea6\u675f\u7684\u7b2c\u4e8c\u4efb\u671f\u4e5f\u6070\u9022\u5176<a 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Frantz\u662f\u5bc6\u6b47\u6839\u5dde\u7acb\u5927\u5b66\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u526f\u6559\u6388\uff0c\u4e5f\u662f\u67e5\u5c14\u65af\u00b7F\u00b7\u51ef\u7279\u6797\u57fa\u91d1\u4f1a\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u3002Andrea Kendall-Taylor\u662f\u65b0\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b89\u5168\u4e2d\u5fc3\u7684\u9ad8\u7ea7\u7814\u7a76\u5458\u517c\u8de8\u5927\u897f\u6d0b\u5b89\u5168\u9879\u76ee\u4e3b\u4efb\u3002Joseph Wright\u662f\u5bbe\u5915\u6cd5\u5c3c\u4e9a\u5dde\u7acb\u5927\u5b66\u653f\u6cbb\u5b66\u6559\u6388\u3002\u4ed6\u4eec\u5408\u8457\u4e86\u300aThe Origins of Elected Strongmen: How Personalist Parties Destroy Democracy From Within\u300b\u4e00\u4e66\u3002<\/p>\n<p>\u7ffb\u8bd1\uff1a\u7ebd\u7ea6\u65f6\u62a5\u4e2d\u6587\u7f51<\/p>\n<p><a rel=\"nofollow\" target=\"_blank\" 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